Analyst: Windows 7 unlikely to spark 2009 PC sales

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Analyst: Windows 7 unlikely to spark 2009 PC sales

San Francisco (CA) – A Barclays Capital analyst, Ben Reitzes, said during a conference call on Monday that none of the PC makers he spoke to at CES 2009 are looking to Windows 7 to drive new PC sales, despite having advanced features like better battery life and multi-touch screen support – though he did not indicate which makers he spoke with.

He said, PC makers don’t have as much hope that Windows 7 will spark a rash of new PC sales because they “feel burned by Vista.” Citing much negative criticism around Vista as a product, he notes that many corporate buyers held off getting new systems preferring instead to stick with XP-based machines. In addition, many consumers and businesses today are opting for the Windows XP downgrade option at an additional expense, one which indicates Vista is not driving new PC sales as much as necessity or expansion.

In the areas of netbooks, analysts are “still very bullish” and expect netbook sales to exceed 40 million units in 2009. Even with this large increase, however, most analysts are projecting a decline of 2% to 10% in overall 2009 PC sales.

Microsoft’s recent problems (and here) delivering the Windows 7 beta have also served to reduce confidence by many. Such a rollout is expected to be a smooth prospect from a company like Microsoft who in the past has rolled out major service pack releases without any server problems despite download times that were often 3x to 10x longer than required due to load.

This may, however, serve to indicate that interest in Windows 7 is unlike the analyst’s predictions and is actually high. Our own editor, Wolfgang Gruener, has said that “Windows 7 is the Vista that Vista should’ve been.”