UPDATED: PC shipments fall more in 2009, should recover in 2010
Chicago (IL) - On Thursday, IDC updated its PC shipment forecast stating that shipments would decline much further in 2009 prior to gradually recovering in 2010. Computer manufacturers should expect shipments to decline by 4.5 percent in 2009, upgrading the forecast of 3.8 percent which was previously made in December. Over the next five years, the US market looks to decline and only increase by 3.4% overall, mostly in 2012 and 2013. However, the world-wide market looks to explode by over 50% increase between now and 2013, beginning an up-surge in 2010.
Charts showing forecasted sales by IDG, 2008 - 2013
In 2009 it is expected that the shipment of PCs worldwide will total 282 million, which is a decline from the 295.2 million shipped in 2008. With consumer spending down, and an increasing unemployment rate, sales will be slow in 2009, claims IDC.
With the recession looming over the lives of individuals, many will put off spending and upgrading major products such as televisions, computers, and other electronics until 2010 when the forecast for their future is not so grim. This could cause a rise again for the sales and shipment of PCs. It has been predicted that PC shipments worldwide could climb to 300.9 million in 2010, an increase of 1.9% over 2008 figures, and 6.7% over the new 2009 forecast.
Consumers are not the only individuals affecting the market. It will be the responsibility of manufactures to determine marketing methods, and enticing technology in attempt to push their products on the public. Gaining public interest could help to maintain steady sales.
IDC says that companies will need to design products with unique features such as better connectivity options on laptops -- such as WiMAX and 3G mobile broadband, netbooks with more features, smaller PCs, unique designs, and more screen size options.
With prices low, netbook sales are on fire. In 2008 alone shipments of the devices totaled 10 million, and in 2009 those shipment numbers are expected to at least double. With more personalized models of the netbook becoming available with larger screens, individuals are finding it easier to replace their bulkier more expensive PCs or notebooks with the portable devices.
In the coming years you will continue to see the netbook market trend grow, stated IDC, and even though the overall computer shipments are expected to fall, the shipments of laptops will continuously grow. The world-wide shipment of laptops will total 148.6 million in 2009, which is just a small rise from the 142.6 million units which shipped in 2008, according to IDC. Expect to see a decline in sales and shipment in desktop PCs as consumers are beginning to opt for a more mobile lifestyle in general.
UPDATED: March 6, 2009 - 12:28pm CST