Win 7: Looks to be Vista disaster, Take 2
Redmond (WA) - InformationWeek has been given a first-look at data collected by KACE from over 1100 sources regarding corporate uptake of Windows 7 after it's released later this year. According to their stats, 83% of businesses will not be upgrading to Windows 7 until at least 2011, making the Windows 7 launch quite possibly a Vista Take 2 under additional declines in OS market share.
The failure of corporations to migrate to Windows 7 raises additional concerns over Microsoft's slipping OS market share as Vista sales have declined 8% in the most recent quarter, and Linux is reaping the benefits.
The KACE data cites that even though Windows XP support officially ends on Tuesday (April 14, 2009), the reality is "that only a small percentage of businesses plan to migrate to Windows 7 in its first year of availability". The report includes, "Economic concerns and worries about compatibility—the bugbear that doomed Vista in the corporate market—will keep Windows 7 on the shelf for all but a handful of enterprises until at least 12 months after the OS becomes available later this year or early next, depending on Microsoft's release schedule."
Accordingly, the long-term support of Windows XP may need to be extended -- at least for those businesses willing to pay the price.
According to the report, early individual beta testers have painted a picture of Windows 7 indicating it's an operating system which performs well next to Vista (and even Windows XP). However, the business world is unlikely to adopt it due to fears over drivers, compatibility and the basic dread over another new OS release from Microsoft.
Only 42% of the 1100 organizations surveyed indicated they planned to deploy Windows 7 at all within 12 to 24 months of release (well into 2H'2011). 24% said they would wait at least 24 to 36 months, and 17% said they would wait longer than 36 months.
According to TG Daily's owner, Wolfgang Gruener, Windows 7 is proving to be the Vista that Vista should've been. Still, Microsoft needs corporate support in order for it to be a successful release. Without it, Windows market share will likely continue to decline as very few companies are interested in what will be the only available alternative at that time: Vista.